Strait Risk
The British Pound starts the week under pressure as rising tensions in the Middle East push energy prices higher and weigh on sentiment.
The Euro is steady but lacks conviction, holding up better than Sterling but still sensitive to energy prices and broader market sentiment.
The U.S. Dollar is stronger, benefiting from safe-haven demand as uncertainty remains elevated.
GBP: The British Pound is back under pressure as markets react to renewed tension in the Middle East. The move higher in energy prices is a clear negative for the UK, given its reliance on imports and sensitivity to rising costs. With no major UK data at the start of the week, the Pound is taking its lead from global sentiment. The lack of positive drivers leaves it vulnerable, and unless conditions improve, the near-term bias remains tilted to the downside.
EUR: The Euro is holding up better than the Pound but still lacks any real conviction. Moves have been relatively contained, with markets focused on the same global drivers rather than anything specific to the Eurozone. Energy remains the key theme, although the impact is less immediate than for the UK. With no strong catalyst either way, the Euro is likely to continue trading sideways, taking its direction from broader sentiment rather than domestic developments.
USD: The US Dollar is firm as investors move back into safer assets. Renewed concerns around the Middle East and the risk of further disruption to energy supply are keeping markets cautious. That’s supporting demand for the Dollar across the board. Even with occasional pullbacks, the overall tone remains constructive. As long as uncertainty stays elevated and markets remain risk-sensitive, the Dollar is likely to stay supported in the near term.
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